The details and thinking behind Frederick Hooven's computer simulation of the Wright Flyer can be found in the reference below. Using data derived from wind tunnel testing of scale models, Hooven developed a dynamic simulation written in Dartmouth BASIC. The original program was not intended for real-time use, but has been converted to run within a web browser.
Hooven, F.J. Longitudinal Dynamics of the Wright Brother's Early Flyers: a study in the computer simulation of flight, In: Wolko, H.S. The Wright Flyer: an engineering perspective, National Air and Space Museum, 1987.